Friday 21 September 2018

Why did JFK set for the Moon?


In this post we will try to understand why the Americans went to the Moon.

Hidden inside the answer, we also get a hint why no one have tried to go back for almost 50 years, and why nobody is seriously dedicated to plans for manned spaceflight to Mars or other planets. The circumstances that led the Americans to undertake this monumental effort, was just so exceptional that we may not see anything like it for still many decades to come. Man will undertake an effort of such titanic scale, only when it is perceived as an absolute urgent necessity.

So, the Americans set sails for the Moon not to advance science, not to explore the Moon and not because they believed in a great future for man in space. Although all three reasons were positive side-effects, and played an important role as a driver for many individuals working at the project, they were certainly not perceived "urgent necessities" by most American tax-payers. The real reason was of course, that  

The Americans went to the Moon to beat the Soviet Union in the battle of the cold war called the Space Race.

Now why was that so important? So important, that John F. Kennedy and with him, the American people, would chose to invest some 20 billion hard-earned tax-dollars, risk the lives of the best men of a generation and to allocate some 400.000 of its most productive citizens working for the Apollo project? Was it just to boast? Was it hurt pride from a sore loser? Of course not. That would absolutely not be a sufficient driver for such an undertaking, and it would indeed not have fit the political and personal mindset of John F. Kennedy.

By May 1961 Kennedy had been president for four months. Like his predecessor President Eisenhower, he was not enthusiastic about space travel and would have preferred to devote American resources to more down-to earth issues than traveling to the Moon or similar space odysseys.

Unlike Eisenhower, however, JFK came to the conclusion that America would have to compete in the prestige race that the Russians had orchestrated so skillfully. This was unavoidable if the interests of freedom and of the American people were to be protected.

American intelligence regarding public opinion in Western Europe indicated that a significant and growing minority saw communism as the system of the future and democratic capitalism as a lower stage of human development. The Russian achievements in space (Sputnik, Laika, the flight of Gagarin and yet more spectacular feats) were responsible for the opinion shift. Confidence in America and the free democratic system was wavering, as the Americans were clearly trailing the Soviet Union in the Space Race.

The obvious risk was that Americas allies would be lured to chose communist tyranny. To Kennedy that was a disaster of national concern as he found it "difficult to envisage the survival of a democratic American society as an island in a totalitarian see."[1]

After pondering the issue for months, consulting all relevant groups of advisors, like George Allen, Director of the USIA, who testified that
"Our space program has an importance far beyond the field of activity itself ... it may be considered as a measure of our vitality and our ability to compete with a formidable rival, and as a criterion of our ability to maintain technological eminence worthy of emulation by other peoples."
JFK's own analysis was, that America would have to fight and win the Space Race, in order to mitigate the victory of totalitarian tyranny.

From 1957 until the mid-60's, the Soviets were beating the Americans badly in the Space Race. Opinion was moving.


Indeed Kennedy was convinced that it was not only important, but the most important challenge for USA to win that particular battle. At a meeting with his advisors at the White House on 14 April 1961, JFK reluctantly stated [1]
"There is nothing more important than winning the Space Race.”
This was John F. Kennedy’s personal conclusion, two days after Gagarin's flight and 3 days prior to the Bay of Pigs affair which was probably the all-time low-point of his presidency.

JFK reasoned that "There is nothing more important than winning the Space Race".

On 25 May 1961, about one month after American morale had reached its nadir and 20 days after Alan Shepard became the first American in space (with Shephard trailing Gagarin by 23 days - and an earth-orbit), Kennedy gave a special address to the American Congress announcing his ambitious plan:
"I believe that this nation should commit itself to achieving the goal, before this decade is out, of landing a man on the moon and returning him safely to the earth. No single space project in this period will be more impressive to mankind, or more important for the long-range exploration of space; and none will be so difficult or expensive to accomplish." [2]
It was a brilliant stroke of political strategy. The plan was so bold and so exciting that the world press shifted its focus and began speaking of the planned American feats rather than the actual Russian ones. The speech caused a sensation around the world. The spotlight turned away from the Russians and Gagarin, who only six weeks earlier had seemed completely unbeatable. The winds of opportunity had shifted in favor of the Americans even before they had delivered the goods.

The matter was so important to JFK, by the way, that he deviated from his prepared speech, trying to do his utmost to convince the Congress, with an improvised appeal. According to his special advisor and speech-writer, Ted Sorensen, this was the only time he ever did that!
"The president looked strained in his effort to win them over. Suddenly he departed extensively from his prepared text - the only time he ever did that in addressing the Congress - to express his awareness of the responsibility they faced ... His voice sounded urgent... The Congress by nearly unanimous vote embraced what the President called this 'great new American enterprise.'"[3]
Both technologically and politically it was important that the plan was so complex and resource demanding that both sides would have to start from scratch in practice, and the Russians wouldn’t have the advantage of a head start. It seemed the Americans had a real chance of winning.

Never before or since have human beings taken it upon themselves to carry out such a dazzlingly ambitious project. The most powerful nation on earth had set itself the goal of going to the Moon!

In the words of the political analyst, John M. Logsdon. [1], the maelstrom of chaotic events had created a situation in which
"The politics of the moment had become linked with the dreams of centuries” 
The NASA leadership had been closely involved in the political and scientific groundwork for Kennedy’s decision and had approved the project’s feasibility. The engineers on the ground, on the other hand, were initially flabbergasted at the confidence they were being shown and the enormous demands placed on them. They had just barely, with great difficulty, carried out Alan Shepard’s suborbital space flight, which, compared to a trip to the moon, was a mere piece of cake.

Kennedy was certainly not blind to the enormity of the task he had created for NASA and the American people. Having set a course for America over deep waters towards unknown shores he concluded his speech with the prayer "And, therefore, as we set sail, we ask God's blessing on the most hazardous and dangerous and greatest adventure on which man has ever embarked."


"And, therefore, as we set sail, we ask God's blessing on the most hazardous and dangerous and greatest adventure on which man has ever embarked.” (John F. Kennedy)

Let us close this post with the words of John M. Logsdon who speculated in 1970[1] with almost prophetic wisdom that

"Perhaps we will find that the lunar landing decision was a unique occurrence, a once-in-a-generation phenomenon in which a heterogeneous mixture of factors almost coincidentally [! ed.] converged to create a national commitment and enough momentum to support that commitment through to its fulfillment."

[1] John M. Logsdon, The Decision to Go to the Moon, 1970, ISBN:0 26212033 X (p. 136 and p. 106).
[2] Moon address to Congress, https://www.nasa.gov/vision/space/features/jfk_speech_text.html.
[3] Theodore C. Sorensen, Kennedy, 1965, ISBN:0-8317-5710-8

Saturday 8 September 2018

Apollo - The battle for credits

Apparently, the makers of the new film about the life of Neil Armstrong ("First Man", build upon James R. Hansen's absolutely excellent book of the same name), have deliberately excluded the iconic planting of the American flag during the first Moon landing on Apollo 11 mission in July 1969.

Starts and Stripes on the Moon- Apollo 11, July 1969.


According to The Telegraph, Canadian actor Ryan Gosling, who stars in the film as Neil Armstrong, was asked if the film was a deliberately un-American take on the moon landing. He replied that Armstrong's accomplishment "transcended countries and borders" as a reason for deliberately excluding this key moment in world history, and for not giving the Americans in particular credit for the monumental achievements that marked the definite victory in the Space Race.

Ryan Gosling as Neil Armstrong in "First Man" Credit: universal Pictures.

This is an outrageous attempt to appropriate the greatest and most spectacular American triumph since WW2.

Intentional twisting of history to enhance a political cause is nothing new. It was an integrated part of the various totalitarian ideologies of the 20th century. But it remains a false play, and it robs the viewer of important lessons to learn.

The choice not to include the planting of the American flag on the Moon, is a strike in a battle of credits for the monumental achievements of the Apollo project. As the celebration of the coming 50-years Apollo anniversaries approaches, the many heirs of the left, who lost the space race, and lost the cold war, will be coming to claim credit for this "the greatest adventure, on which man has ever embarked".

Or rather, they will be coming on (at least) 3 fronts:
  • To claim credit, as in this case - "We did it!"
  • To claim that Apollo was really a piece of nothing - well, maybe it didn't even happen...
  • To claim that it was a waste of time and money anyways... 
Claim no. 3, by the way, "it was a waste of time and money anyways" was the new narrative from the left, when it became clear that they were losing the Space Race. Until then, the Space Race had been all smiles and the proof of a happy communist world future.

This blog plans to deal with each of these claims in future posts, so stay tuned.

Well, back to the issue - and claim no 1: "We, mankind, did it!" The fact that Neil Armstrong and the Americans were humble and gracious in victory, dedicating the triumph to all mankind, should not make Ryan Gosling, the Canadians or anyone else feel they can boast and try to lift credit that do not belong to them by a long shot.

"When we Americans put our minds and energy to it, nobody, but nobody, can do the things we can do. The Eagle did what it was supposed to do and more. I believe the Eagle (and her crew) could only have been made in America." (Apollo 12 Astronaut Alan Bean - 4th American man of 12 American men to set foot on the Moon [2])
Perhaps, no one say it better than Apollo 12 astronaut Alan Bean, who wrote in his book [2]:

"When we Americans put our minds and energy to it, nobody, but nobody, can do the things we can do. The Eagle did what it was supposed to do and more. I believe the Eagle (and her crew) could only have been made in America."  
(Alan Bean)

Dr. Steve Turley made a very precise comment to the issue in this youTube:

 

Mr. Ben Shapiro also made a comment to the spectacle. I think he might be a bit too quick at some points, but I have to agree with his basic arguments:






The Apollo project was done, almost entirely, by Americans and by American sacrifices. By the hard work, skills and strong spirits of hundreds of thousands of Americans.

And, not only was this done by the Americans in general, but by a certain subset of Americans in particular: It was the triumph of the "squares" as Tom Paine (Acting NASA Administrator) put it after the Apollo 8 Christmas triumph:

"We feel humble that we were the ones to perform this...It might show the restless students of the world the benefits...the triumph of the "squares" who work with computers and slide rules, of engineering and of science, and of men who read from the Bible on Christmas eve." [Chicago Tribune, Dec 28th, 1968].
 
Tom Paine (center with glasses) and some of his thousands of square colleagues

"The squares" sent men to the Moon, paid for by the tax-money of hard-working Americans, as a sacrifice to win that battle of the Cold War for the freedom of all mankind - and to bring down one evil tyranny.

"There is nothing more important than winning the Space Race." (JFK [3])

Meanwhile, the left contributed to this, the most important strike for freedom, with little more than smearing and throwing eggs at the Apollo astronaut heroes, seeking to undermine the project at all political levels. They can have no credit for the victory.

[1] James R. Hansen, First Man. The Life of Neil Armstrong, ISBN:9780743492324
[2] Alan Bean with Andrew Chaikin: "Apollo", ISBN: 0-86713-050-4
[3] John M. Logsdon, The Decision to Go to the Moon, 1970, ISBN:0 26212033 X